Estrella Galicia Grand Prix of Spain Predictions -- MotoGP 2026
Round 4 at Circuito de Jerez, Jerez 
The MotoGP circus descends on Jerez for what promises to be another thrilling weekend of racing. With the championship finely balanced and every point carrying enormous weight, the stakes at Circuito de Jerez could not be higher. Here are our predictions for Round 4.
Form Guide: Recent Results
Last time out, Marco Bezzecchi took a commanding victory. The momentum from that result could carry into Jerez.
| Pos | Rider | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marco Bezzecchi | Aprilia Racing |
| 2 | Jorge Martin | Aprilia Racing |
| 3 | Pedro Acosta | Red Bull KTM Factory Racing |
| 4 | Fabio Di Giannantonio | Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team |
| 5 | Marc Marquez | Ducati Lenovo Team |
Our Predicted Top 5
| Prediction | Rider | Team | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| P1 | Marco Bezzecchi | Aprilia Racing | Championship leader with the confidence to match. 3 wins this season. 3 podium finishes demonstrate remarkable consistency. |
| P2 | Jorge Martin | Aprilia Racing | Close enough in the championship to take risks. |
| P3 | Pedro Acosta | Red Bull KTM Factory Racing | Close enough in the championship to take risks. |
| P4 | Fabio Di Giannantonio | Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team | Close enough in the championship to take risks. |
| P5 | Marc Marquez | Ducati Lenovo Team | Close enough in the championship to take risks. |
Dark Horse Pick: Ai Ogura
Ai Ogura (Trackhouse MotoGP Team, 37 pts) has shown flashes of brilliance this season. Circuito de Jerez could suit their riding style, and a weekend where the frontrunners falter could open the door to a surprise podium or even a shock victory.
Key Battles on Track
Three battles will define this race. At the front, Marco Bezzecchi and Jorge Martin will fight for supremacy as they have all season. In the midfield, Pedro Acosta and Fabio Di Giannantonio are locked in a tight fight for third in the championship. And among the satellite teams, the race for best-of-the-rest honors adds another layer of intrigue.
Sprint Race Factor
Saturday's Sprint Race adds a strategic dimension to the weekend. The shortened distance rewards aggressive riding and can reshape confidence heading into Sunday's main event. Points scored in the Sprint also chip away at championship margins -- a factor the title contenders cannot afford to ignore.
Championship Mathematics
With 19 rounds remaining after this weekend, Marco Bezzecchi leads by 4 points. A wafer-thin margin that could swing either direction with a single race result. There are still 703 points available across the remaining races and sprints.
Check back after the weekend for our full results report and in-depth analysis of every key moment.